5prong wrote:Guys, as a digger myself I understand how everyone is wanting to see the price climb. I Think that not much is being posted because nothing has really changed yet in terms of moving the price upward. Most of the pricing that you guys are seeing is based on 2 things. #1 - The price that the dealer knows he can move the root at today and #2 Speculation of what the price may be a little bit later. If a dealer does not have a huge cash flow then he must certainly rely more on #1. I believe this is why there has not been much posted.
Also the pricing is for mixed lots (ginseng roots that are 5 years old and up of varying degrees of quality). I can't speak for all dealers, but some including myself are willing to pay more for older better quality roots. All ginseng is not of equal value and even as dealers when we try to move it the quality of what we have to sell is being looked at as well. All diggers are not the same. Some guys want to dig every plant they come accross, some aren't very careful not to damage the roots. Some are out there that only dig very nice stuff and take great care in digging and caring for the root. My point to all of this is that when asked what are you paying per lb. most guys don't want to hear it depends on what you have.
Right now I'm paying 450/lb for a good mixed lot. I can do a little better for a really good lot, but don't ask me how much better until I actually see it.
Bottom line is that there just isn't anything new to post about prices. This may change at any time, and I hope it goes to 1000/lb, but don't have much more insight into this than any other digger. I'm more than happy to post any changes to price that occur, but just hasn't been a lot happening thus far.
5prong is dead on. There isn't much going on yet. Dealers might still lose money on the stuff they are buying. I've had dealers already tell me they have more money in their ginseng than I can pay them for it.
Also, I mean no disrespect to anyone here, but I always have to wonder which posters are actually dealers trying to give themselves good PR by posting a high dollar figure or some other quality about themselves under a different user name.
Another thing you should consider, is that lots with small or damaged things, really bring down the price. Small or damaged roots are worth about 50%. So, if there is a lot of one pound which has 5% really nice, large roots, 50% average roots, but 45% small or damaged, that lot isn't worth $450. In reality, it might break down like this
.05 x $465 = 23.25
.50 x $450 = 225.00
.45 x $225 = 101.25
Total actual value $349.50
But, in reality what normally happens? The dealer gives the person $435 or so for the lot because he wants to keep the digger's business. We can do this because we are looking for average prices. I might buy someones sang and its all pretty descent at $450-460. The next guy might have little or no damage at all but average root. The guy after that might have a higher percentage of small or damaged stuff. I just have to keep in mind that while the good stuff can bring that lot value up when in quantity, it also brings down the better stuff I have.
So, when 5prong, myself and others are hesitant to give you a definate price without seeing what you have, it is because of what 5 said --because it just depends. The best solution is to quote a price on average original lots and pay a bit of a premium for better stuff to encourage that type of digging, and discount the lots from diggers who are less caring about what they are doing.
I really did expect the market to break downward a little by now. But, it hasn't. So, as long as I reasonably believe I can sell what I have without losing anything, I'll keep buying at a $450 average until something happens.